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Aire Serv

How much does Aire Serv cost?

Initial Investment Range

$113,808.50 to $271,708.50

Franchise Fee

$46,750

As a franchisee, you will install, maintain and repair certain residential and commercial heating, ventilating, air conditioning and indoor air quality services and equipment, sell and service water-based heating systems; perform related services and sell related products.

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Aire Serv April 1, 2025 FDD Risk Analysis

Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025

DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.

1

Franchisor Stability Risks

Start Here
Total: 10
4
0
6

Disclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability

High Risk

Explanation

The franchisor, Aire Serv SPV LLC ("Aire Serv LLC"), is a special purpose entity and does not have its own financials. Performance is guaranteed by parent Neighborly Assetco LLC, whose financials appear strong. However, the separate financial statements for the Manager entity (Neighborly Company), which provides all support services, show a significant net loss in 2023 and 2024. A financially weak manager could potentially impact the quality and availability of support, training, and resources provided to you.

Potential Mitigations

  • Engage an accountant to analyze the complete financial picture, including the statements of the guarantor and the manager, to assess overall stability.
  • Discuss with your business advisor the implications of a service provider operating at a loss, even with a strong parent guarantee.
  • Ask your attorney to review the parent guarantee in Exhibit D to understand its strength and the scope of what is covered.
Citations: Item 21, Exhibit C

High Franchisee Turnover

High Risk

Explanation

Data in Item 20 Table 3 for 2024 indicates a notable franchisee turnover rate. There were 11 terminations, 8 cessations of operation, and 2 non-renewals out of 197 outlets at the start of the year, representing a significant churn. This level of turnover may suggest underlying issues within the system, such as challenges with profitability, support, or franchisee satisfaction. The FDD provides no specific reasons for these departures, which warrants careful investigation.

Potential Mitigations

  • A business advisor can help you calculate and analyze the turnover rates for the last three years to identify any negative trends.
  • It is critical to contact a significant number of former franchisees listed in Exhibit F to understand their reasons for leaving the system.
  • Your attorney should help you formulate specific questions for the franchisor regarding the reasons for the high number of terminations and cessations.
Citations: Item 20

Rapid System Growth

High Risk

Explanation

Item 20 data shows the system added a net of 11 franchises in 2024 but opened 32 new outlets. This represents a gross growth rate of approximately 16% in a single year. When combined with the high turnover rate and the operating losses of the Manager entity, this rapid expansion could potentially strain the franchisor's ability to provide adequate and timely support, training, and other resources to all franchisees, both new and existing.

Potential Mitigations

  • With your business advisor, question the franchisor about their infrastructure and staffing plans to support this continued growth.
  • Speaking with both new and established franchisees can provide insight into whether the quality of support has been maintained during this expansion.
  • Your accountant should review the Manager's financial statements to assess if they have allocated sufficient resources to handle a larger system.
Citations: Item 20

New/Unproven Franchise System

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The franchisor's predecessor has been offering franchises since 1992, indicating a long operational history and a mature brand. An unproven system can be risky because its business model, brand recognition, and support infrastructure may not be well-established, potentially leading to a higher failure rate for franchisees. While the current franchisor entity is new due to a 2021 restructuring, the underlying business system is not.

Potential Mitigations

  • For any franchise, a business advisor can help you assess the maturity and track record of the brand and its operating systems.
  • Speaking with long-tenured franchisees can provide valuable perspective on the system's evolution and stability over time.
  • Your attorney should review the history of the franchisor and its predecessors as detailed in Item 1.
Citations: Item 1

Possible Fad Business

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The franchise offers heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) services, which represent a fundamental and long-standing consumer and commercial need. A fad business, tied to a short-lived trend, carries the risk of collapsing when public interest wanes, potentially leaving you with a worthless investment and ongoing liabilities. The HVAC industry is an established, essential service sector, suggesting long-term market viability.

Potential Mitigations

  • It is always prudent to have a business advisor help you research the long-term market demand and competitive landscape for any industry.
  • An accountant can assist in modeling the financial viability of a business beyond any short-term trends.
  • Your attorney can review the franchise agreement to ensure there are no unusual dependencies on a single product or trend.
Citations: Item 1

Inexperienced Management

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified in the FDD. The executive team described in Item 2 appears to have significant experience in the franchising industry and with the parent company's various brands. Inexperienced management can be a major risk, as they may lack the specific skills needed to provide effective franchisee support, manage system growth, and maintain brand standards, potentially jeopardizing your investment. This does not appear to be a concern here.

Potential Mitigations

  • Always verify the backgrounds of key executives with your business advisor to assess their direct experience in both the specific industry and in franchising.
  • Discussing the management team's reputation and effectiveness with current franchisees is a crucial due diligence step.
  • Your attorney can help you understand the roles and responsibilities of the management team as outlined in the FDD.
Citations: Item 2

Private Equity Ownership

High Risk

Explanation

The franchisor is ultimately owned by investment funds affiliated with Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P. (KKR), a private equity firm. This ownership structure may create a focus on maximizing short-term returns for investors, which could lead to decisions that are not in the long-term best interest of franchisees. The Franchise Agreement allows the franchisor to sell the system without your consent, potentially to a new owner with different priorities.

Potential Mitigations

  • Your business advisor should help you research the private equity firm's reputation and history with other franchise brands.
  • It's wise to discuss with current franchisees if they have observed any changes in support or strategy since the acquisition by private equity.
  • Understanding the franchisor's right to assign the contract without your consent is crucial; your attorney can explain the implications.
Citations: Item 1, FA § 10(G)

Failure to Disclose Parent Company

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The FDD appears to properly disclose the complex corporate structure, including the franchisor (Aire Serv SPV LLC), its direct parent (Neighborly Assetco LLC), and the ultimate ownership by funds affiliated with KKR. Inadequate disclosure of a parent company can obscure the true financial backing and control of the system, hiding potential risks from prospective franchisees. The provision of the parent's financial statements and guarantee in this FDD addresses this potential issue.

Potential Mitigations

  • An attorney should always review Item 1 and Item 21 to confirm that all parent and affiliate entities are properly disclosed.
  • If a parent guarantee is offered, have your lawyer and accountant review its terms and the parent's financial health.
  • Your business advisor can help investigate the corporate structure for any undisclosed controlling parties.
Citations: Not applicable

Predecessor History Issues

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. Item 1 of the FDD discloses the predecessor entity, Aire Serv LLC, and the FDD appears to integrate the brand's long history. Failing to disclose or obscuring negative information about a predecessor (such as past litigation, bankruptcies, or high franchisee turnover) can prevent you from seeing the complete historical picture of the franchise system's health and challenges, which is a significant due diligence risk.

Potential Mitigations

  • An attorney should always help you scrutinize Item 1 for any mention of predecessors.
  • If a predecessor is identified, a business advisor can help you conduct independent research on that entity's history and reputation.
  • When speaking with long-tenured franchisees, asking about their experience under any previous ownership is a valuable line of inquiry.
Citations: Not applicable

Pattern of Litigation

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified for the Aire Serv franchisor itself. Item 3 discloses administrative orders against two affiliate brands (Window Genie and Molly Maid) and four lawsuits initiated by the franchisor against its own franchisees in 2024. While this shows a willingness to litigate, there is no disclosed pattern of franchisee-initiated lawsuits alleging fraud or misrepresentation against Aire Serv. A pattern of such claims would be a major red flag about the system's integrity.

Potential Mitigations

  • A thorough review of Item 3 with your attorney is crucial to understand the nature and frequency of any legal disputes.
  • Your attorney can help assess whether the number of franchisor-initiated lawsuits seems reasonable for the system's size.
  • Asking current franchisees about the franchisor's general approach to resolving disputes can provide important context.
Citations: Item 3
2

Disclosure & Representation Risks

Total: 15
7
1
7

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

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3

Financial & Fee Risks

Total: 10
3
6
1

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

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4

Legal & Contract Risks

Total: 16
8
3
5

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

5

Territory & Competition Risks

Total: 5
3
1
1

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

6

Regulatory & Compliance Risks

Total: 10
4
4
2

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

7

Franchisor Support Risks

Total: 4
1
2
1

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

8

Operational Control Risks

Total: 12
4
5
3

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

9

Term & Exit Risks

Total: 18
6
7
5

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

10

Miscellaneous Risks

Total: 2
1
1
0

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.