Enjoy our complimentary free risk analysis below
Unlock the full risk analysis to access 9 more categories covering 100+ risks.
August 7, 2024 FDD Risk Analysis
Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025
DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.
Franchisor Stability Risks
Start HereDisclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability
High Risk
Explanation
The franchisor's audited financial statements reveal a significant and worsening financial condition. As of July 2023, the company had a stockholders' deficit exceeding $4.3 million, which grew to over $5.2 million by April 2024. The company has also reported substantial net losses for consecutive periods. This financial weakness could impact the franchisor's ability to support you, grow the brand, or meet its obligations, posing a significant risk to your investment.
Potential Mitigations
- A thorough review of the franchisor's financial statements, including all footnotes and the auditor's report, with your accountant is critical to assess the level of risk.
- Your attorney should investigate the terms of the escrow requirement mentioned in the financial notes, which was imposed by regulators due to the franchisor's financial state.
- Engaging a business advisor to question the franchisor about their strategy to improve financial stability is a prudent step.
High Franchisee Turnover
Medium Risk
Explanation
Item 20 data shows a net decrease in the number of franchised outlets over the past three years, from 35 to 32. This includes two non-renewals and two other business closures within the last two reporting years. While not a massive decline, a shrinking system can be a sign of potential issues with franchisee profitability, satisfaction, or the overall competitiveness of the brand. This trend warrants careful investigation into why franchisees are leaving the system.
Potential Mitigations
- It is crucial to contact a significant number of current and former franchisees listed in Item 20 to understand their experiences and reasons for leaving.
- Your accountant can help you analyze the turnover trends over the three-year period to assess the system's stability.
- Discussing the outlet decline directly with the franchisor, with guidance from your business advisor, may provide important context.
Rapid System Growth
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The data in Item 20 indicates that the franchise system is currently contracting rather than expanding rapidly. Rapid growth can strain a franchisor's ability to provide adequate support, so its absence here is not necessarily a negative factor. However, a shrinking system presents its own set of risks regarding brand momentum and franchisee morale, which is addressed in the 'High Franchisee Turnover' risk.
Potential Mitigations
- Asking a business advisor to help you evaluate the franchisor's growth plans is a wise step, even if current growth is not rapid.
- Your attorney can help you understand any development obligations you might have, regardless of the system's overall pace.
- An accountant should review the franchisor's financials to see if they have adequate capital for future support and managed growth.
New/Unproven Franchise System
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 indicates that Aurelio's Is Pizza Franchise, Ltd. (Aurelio's) has been offering franchises since 1979. A long operational history suggests the business model is not new or untested and has weathered various economic cycles. The brand has significant experience in the pizzeria industry, which can be a positive factor for prospective franchisees seeking an established concept.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you research the brand's history and reputation in its core markets.
- It is still prudent to ask your attorney to review all corporate history provided in Item 1 for any potential concerns.
- Speaking with long-term franchisees can provide insight into how the system has evolved over time.
Possible Fad Business
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The business concept is the operation of a pizzeria, which is a long-established and mainstream segment of the restaurant industry. There is no indication that the business is based on a fleeting trend or novelty. The stability of the underlying market for pizza is generally considered strong, though it is also highly competitive.
Potential Mitigations
- Engaging a business advisor to analyze the competitiveness of the pizza market in your specific area is recommended.
- Your accountant can help you model the financial performance needed to succeed in a competitive, non-fad industry.
- Discussing the brand's points of differentiation with current franchisees can help you understand its competitive advantages.
Inexperienced Management
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 2 details the business experience of the franchisor's key executives. The leadership team, including the President and CEO, appears to have extensive and long-term experience both within the Aurelio's system and in the broader food service industry. This depth of experience can be a significant asset in providing guidance and support to franchisees.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can still be useful in researching the public reputation of the management team.
- In your calls with existing franchisees, it is worthwhile to ask about their direct experiences with the support and accessibility of the leadership team.
- Your attorney can confirm that the management disclosures in Item 2 are complete and raise no red flags.
Private Equity Ownership
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 indicates the franchisor is a privately held corporation and does not disclose ownership by a private equity firm. The management information in Item 2 suggests long-term, family-related involvement. Private equity ownership can sometimes lead to a focus on short-term profits over the long-term health of franchisees, so its absence can be a positive indicator.
Potential Mitigations
- Asking your attorney to review the corporate ownership structure in Item 1 is a good practice to confirm the absence of institutional investors.
- A business advisor can help you research the company to ensure there are no undisclosed majority owners that could influence its direction.
- You should inquire with the franchisor about any potential plans for a future sale of the company.
Non-Disclosure of Parent Company
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 of the FDD states that Aurelio's has no parent corporation. While several affiliated companies are disclosed, they appear to be part of the overall corporate structure rather than an undisclosed parent. Proper disclosure allows you to assess the entire entity you are contracting with, and the franchisor appears to have met this requirement.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney should review the relationships between the franchisor and all its affiliates described in Item 1.
- An accountant can help you understand the financial impact of transactions with these affiliated companies, as detailed in Item 8 and Item 21.
- It is prudent to ask the franchisor to draw a simple organizational chart to clarify the roles of all affiliated entities.
Predecessor History Issues
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 of the FDD explicitly states that the franchisor has no predecessors. A predecessor is a company from which the franchisor acquired a major part of its assets. A lack of predecessors means the history presented in the FDD, including financial performance and litigation history, is that of the current entity, which provides a clearer picture for due diligence.
Potential Mitigations
- Even without predecessors, consulting with your business advisor to research the full history of the Aurelio's brand can provide useful context.
- Your attorney can confirm that the disclosure in Item 1 regarding predecessors is complete and unambiguous.
- Discussions with long-tenured franchisees can help verify the historical narrative of the company.
Pattern of Litigation
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 3 explicitly states, 'No litigation is required to be disclosed in this Item.' The absence of reported lawsuits, particularly those initiated by franchisees alleging fraud or breach of contract, is a positive indicator. It may suggest a healthier franchisor-franchisee relationship compared to systems with a history of significant legal disputes.
Potential Mitigations
- An attorney can still conduct a public records search to see if any non-material litigation exists that might offer insight.
- It is always a good practice to ask current and former franchisees about any disputes they may have had, even if they didn't result in litigation.
- Ask your business advisor to research online forums or news articles for any mention of informal franchisee disputes.
Disclosure & Representation Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Financial & Fee Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Legal & Contract Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Territory & Competition Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Regulatory & Compliance Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Franchisor Support Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Operational Control Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Term & Exit Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Miscellaneous Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.