Illy Caffè
Initial Investment Range
$391,800 to $2,103,720
Franchise Fee
$76,000 to $167,500
We grant the right to operate an Italian-style coffee bars that specialize in serving espresso, cappuccino and coffee related products, light snack food, alcoholic beverages (if applicable) and other items under our name and marks (the “ILLY Locations”).
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Illy Caffè March 28, 2025 FDD Risk Analysis
Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: August 19, 2025
DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.
Franchisor Stability Risks
Start HereDisclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability
High Risk
Explanation
The franchisor's financials show a significant drop in net income, from approximately $5.0 million in 2023 to $1.7 million in 2024. The notes to the financial statements reveal this is due to a substantial decrease in fee income from the parent company under a complex Bilateral Advance Pricing Agreement (BAPA). This indicates your franchisor's profitability may be highly dependent on this specific inter-company arrangement, which could create financial instability if the terms of the BAPA change.
Potential Mitigations
- Your accountant should thoroughly analyze the franchisor's financial statements, paying close attention to the notes regarding the BAPA and its impact on profitability.
- It is prudent to discuss the nature of the parent company relationship and its potential volatility with a business advisor.
- Legal counsel should review any parent company guarantees or support obligations to understand their strength and enforceability.
High Franchisee Turnover
Medium Risk
Explanation
Item 20 data from 2022 to 2024 shows a number of units have been terminated, reacquired by the franchisor, or ceased operations. In 2023, two units left the system (one reacquired, one ceased) out of a starting base of 16, representing a double-digit churn rate for that year. While not a massive wave of closures, this consistent turnover could indicate potential challenges with profitability or franchisee satisfaction within the system that you should investigate further.
Potential Mitigations
- A discussion with your business advisor about the turnover rates and their potential implications for the system's health is recommended.
- You should contact a significant number of former franchisees listed in Item 20 to understand their reasons for leaving the system.
- Your accountant can help you analyze the turnover data over the three-year period to identify any concerning trends.
Rapid System Growth
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The franchisor is not undergoing a period of extremely rapid expansion that might strain its support systems. Rapid growth can sometimes mean that a franchisor's resources for training, site selection, and operational support are stretched thin, potentially leading to inadequate assistance for new franchisees.
Potential Mitigations
- As part of your due diligence, your business advisor can help you evaluate the franchisor's support staff-to-franchisee ratio.
- It is wise to ask existing franchisees about their perception of the quality and timeliness of the franchisor's support.
- Your accountant can review the franchisor's financial statements to assess if they are investing adequately in support infrastructure.
New/Unproven Franchise System
Medium Risk
Explanation
According to Item 1, illy caffè North America, Inc. (illy) began offering franchises in September 2022, though a predecessor company has history dating to 2008. The system in the U.S. is still relatively small, with 17 franchised outlets at the end of 2024. While the illy brand is globally established, the U.S. franchise system itself is young and has a limited track record, which may present risks related to unproven support systems and market adaptation.
Potential Mitigations
- In your discussions with current franchisees, inquire specifically about the evolution of the support system since the 2022 transition.
- A thorough review of the predecessor's history and the reasons for the merger with legal counsel is advisable.
- Your business advisor can help assess whether the support infrastructure seems appropriate for a system of this size and age.
Possible Fad Business
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The franchise is for an illy caffè, an Italian-style coffee bar. The parent company was founded in 1933. The coffee bar concept is a well-established and mature industry, not a business based on a recent or potentially fleeting trend. This suggests a lower risk of the business model becoming obsolete due to shifting consumer interests.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you analyze the long-term trends and competitive landscape in the premium coffee market.
- During your due diligence, you might ask the franchisor about their strategies for innovation and staying relevant in a competitive industry.
- An accountant can help you model the financial resilience of this type of business under various economic scenarios.
Inexperienced Management
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The executive team described in Item 2 appears to have significant and relevant business experience. For example, the Interim President and CFO has extensive financial experience with another major corporation, and other key personnel have long tenures with illy or its predecessor. This suggests the management team is not inexperienced.
Potential Mitigations
- It is always a good practice to research the professional backgrounds of key executives, which your business advisor can assist with.
- When speaking with current franchisees, you can inquire about their direct experiences with and impressions of the management team.
- Your attorney can help you understand the roles and responsibilities of the key personnel listed in Item 2.
Private Equity Ownership
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. The franchisor, illy caffè North America, Inc., is described in Item 1 as a subsidiary of illycaffè S.p.A., a long-standing Italian corporation. There is no indication of ownership by a private equity firm, which can sometimes bring a focus on short-term returns over the long-term health of the franchise system.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you research the franchisor's ownership structure for any signs of recent changes or outside investment.
- It remains a good practice to ask current franchisees if they have noticed any changes in the franchisor's philosophy or support levels.
- Your attorney can review the franchisor's right to assign the franchise agreement, which could be relevant if the company is sold in the future.
Non-Disclosure of Parent Company
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 clearly discloses that the franchisor is a subsidiary of a parent company, illycaffè S.p.A. While the parent's financial statements are not included, the franchisor's financials are provided and audited, and the significant financial relationship with the parent is discussed in the notes. There does not appear to be an improper non-disclosure.
Potential Mitigations
- Your accountant should review the franchisor's financials and the notes describing the relationship with the parent company.
- Understanding the nature of any financial guarantees or support from the parent is a key area to discuss with your attorney.
- A business advisor can help you assess the operational and financial dependence of the franchisor on its parent.
Predecessor History Issues
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 1 discloses the existence of a predecessor, and Items 3 and 4 indicate no history of litigation or bankruptcy for the current franchisor or the predecessor. While the transition from the predecessor is a key event, the FDD does not present any negative historical information that appears to have been concealed.
Potential Mitigations
- It is prudent to ask long-term franchisees about their experience with the system under its predecessor, if possible.
- Your attorney should confirm that all necessary disclosures regarding the predecessor appear to be included as required by law.
- A business advisor can help you research public information about the predecessor company to supplement the FDD disclosure.
Pattern of Litigation
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD Package. Item 3 explicitly states, 'No litigation is required to be disclosed in this Item.' This indicates there have been no recent, material legal actions involving the franchisor that would require disclosure under franchise law, which generally is a positive sign regarding franchisee relations and legal compliance.
Potential Mitigations
- Even with no disclosed litigation, asking current franchisees about their relationship with the franchisor is a valuable due diligence step.
- Your attorney can conduct a public records search to confirm the absence of significant litigation.
- A business advisor can help you assess the overall health of franchisor-franchisee relations through discussions with current operators.
Disclosure & Representation Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Financial & Fee Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Legal & Contract Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Territory & Competition Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Regulatory & Compliance Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Franchisor Support Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Operational Control Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Term & Exit Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
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Miscellaneous Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.