
Chili's Grill & Bar
Initial Investment Range
$1,806,195 to $6,515,695
Franchise Fee
$40,000 to $65,000
The franchise is for a Chili’s Grill & Bar or a Chili’s Special Venue restaurant.
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Chili's Grill & Bar September 20, 2024 FDD Risk Analysis
Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025
DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.
Franchisor Stability Risks
Start HereDisclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability
High Risk
Explanation
The FDD includes a “Special Risk” explicitly stating that the financial condition of the franchisor, Brinker International Payroll Company, L.P. (Brinker), “calls into question the franchisor’s financial ability to provide services and support to you.” While audited financials for the parent/guarantor, Brinker International, Inc., show a return to positive shareholders' equity in 2024 after a deficit in 2023, this direct warning from the franchisor itself signifies a significant risk regarding its stability and capacity for support.
Potential Mitigations
- A thorough review of the complete audited financial statements in Exhibit A, including all footnotes and cash flow statements, with your accountant is essential.
- Engaging a business advisor to assess the franchisor's capacity to fulfill its support obligations, given the disclosed financial concerns, is a prudent step.
- Your franchise attorney should evaluate the strength and enforceability of the Parent Company Guarantee of Performance provided in Exhibit A.
High Franchisee Turnover
High Risk
Explanation
The FDD contains a “Special Risk” disclosure highlighting a high franchisee turnover rate. Item 20 data confirms this, showing the number of franchised outlets dropped from 171 to 101 in fiscal year 2022, primarily due to Brinker reacquiring 68 franchised restaurants. Such a large-scale exit of franchisees, even if through reacquisition, is a critical indicator of potential systemic issues, franchisee dissatisfaction, or a major strategic shift that could affect your business.
Potential Mitigations
- It is imperative to contact a significant number of former franchisees listed in Item 20 to understand the reasons behind the mass reacquisitions and their experience.
- Your business advisor should help you analyze the Item 20 tables to calculate the effective turnover rate over the last three years.
- Discuss the implications of this high turnover and the franchisor's reacquisition strategy with your franchise attorney.
Rapid System Growth
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD package. The data in Item 20 shows the franchise system has been contracting, not growing rapidly. Rapid growth can strain a franchisor's ability to provide necessary support, training, and quality control to its franchisees, potentially diluting the brand's value and leaving new owners without adequate assistance. It is often a sign of a franchisor prioritizing franchise sales revenue over sustainable system health.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you analyze the franchisor's growth rate in Item 20 to ensure it is sustainable.
- Seeking insight from existing franchisees about the quality and timeliness of franchisor support is a valuable due diligence step.
- An accountant's review of the franchisor's financials in Item 21 can help determine if they have the resources to support their current size and any future growth.
New/Unproven Franchise System
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. Item 1 indicates that Chili's Restaurants have been in operation since 1975 and franchised since 1984, demonstrating a long and established history. Investing in a new or unproven system carries higher risks, as the business model's long-term viability, brand recognition, and the franchisor's ability to provide effective support have not yet been fully established in the marketplace. Such systems may have a higher failure rate.
Potential Mitigations
- When evaluating any franchise, it is wise to have a business advisor help you assess the system's maturity and track record.
- An attorney can review the experience of the management team as detailed in Item 2 of the FDD.
- Speaking with the longest-operating franchisees can provide valuable perspective on the system's history and evolution.
Possible Fad Business
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. Chili's is a well-established brand in the casual dining segment of the restaurant industry, which is a mature market. A fad-based business is one that relies on a short-lived trend, posing a significant risk that customer demand will disappear long before your 20-year franchise agreement expires. This could leave you with a worthless business and ongoing financial obligations, such as lease payments and royalty fees.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you research the long-term market demand and competitive landscape for any franchise concept.
- Careful review of the franchisor's history in Item 1 and its plans for future development in Item 11 can reveal its commitment to long-term relevance.
- Your accountant can assist in modeling a worst-case scenario where sales decline after an initial trend fades.
Inexperienced Management
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD. Item 2 details a management team with extensive experience in large, established restaurant and retail companies such as YUM! Brands and 7-Eleven. Franchisors with inexperienced management may lack the expertise to provide adequate support, create effective systems, or make sound strategic decisions for the brand. This can lead to significant operational and financial challenges for franchisees who rely on the franchisor's guidance.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you research the backgrounds of the key executives listed in Item 2 of any FDD.
- It is always a good practice to ask existing franchisees about their direct experiences with the management team's competence and support.
- Your attorney can advise on the overall professionalism and completeness of the disclosure document, which can be an indicator of management's experience.
Private Equity Ownership
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD package. Brinker International, Inc., the parent company, is a publicly traded corporation, not one owned by a private equity firm. Private equity ownership can introduce risks related to a focus on short-term returns, which may lead to increased fees, reduced franchisee support, and a higher likelihood of the franchise system being sold, creating uncertainty for franchisees' long-term investment.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you investigate the ownership structure of any franchisor, which is disclosed in Item 1.
- If a franchisor is PE-owned, it's wise to research the firm's track record with other franchise brands they have managed.
- Your attorney can review the assignment clause in the franchise agreement to understand your rights if the system is sold.
Non-Disclosure of Parent Company
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. Item 1 clearly discloses the relationship between the franchisor, Brinker International Payroll Company, L.P., and its parent, Brinker International, Inc. Furthermore, Item 21 provides the parent's audited financial statements and a Guarantee of Performance. Failure to disclose a parent company or provide its financials when required can obscure the true financial health and control structure of the franchise system, which is a significant risk for prospective franchisees.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney should always verify that the entities disclosed in Item 1 align with the financial statements in Item 21 and any guarantees in Item 22.
- An accountant can determine if a parent company's financials should have been included based on FTC rules if they are missing.
- It's good practice to have a business advisor help you understand the complete corporate structure of the franchisor.
Predecessor History Issues
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. The FDD discloses that the franchisor assumed franchise agreements from its parent company, which appears to be part of an internal corporate structuring. A predecessor history can be a risk if the current franchisor acquired a troubled system, potentially inheriting issues like litigation, franchisee dissatisfaction, or a failing brand. It is important to understand the full history of the system you are buying into.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney should carefully review the predecessor information in Items 1, 3, and 4 of any FDD.
- If a system was acquired from a predecessor, speaking with long-term franchisees who operated under the previous ownership provides valuable insight.
- A business advisor can help you research the public history and reputation of any predecessor entity.
Pattern of Litigation
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. Item 3 discloses litigation from customers related to a data breach, but it does not show a pattern of litigation initiated by franchisees alleging fraud or by the franchisor against franchisees. A pattern of such lawsuits can be a major red flag, suggesting deep-seated problems in the franchise relationship, the business model's viability, or the franchisor's practices. Constant legal battles can drain a franchisor's resources and indicate an unhealthy system.
Potential Mitigations
- It is critical to have a franchise attorney thoroughly review the litigation history in Item 3 of any FDD.
- A business advisor can help you analyze the nature and frequency of lawsuits to identify any troubling patterns.
- If litigation is a concern, speaking with franchisees involved in those lawsuits can provide invaluable firsthand information.
Disclosure & Representation Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Financial & Fee Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Legal & Contract Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Territory & Competition Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
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Regulatory & Compliance Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
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Franchisor Support Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
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Operational Control Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Term & Exit Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Miscellaneous Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.