Carvel Logo

Carvel

Initial Investment Range

$38,800 to $1,099,500

Franchise Fee

$5,659 to $110,942

You will operate a Carvel Ice Cream Shoppe (a “Shoppe”). Carvel Ice Cream Shoppes are retail outlets that sell softserve ice cream, hand dipped ice cream, novelties, and ice cream cakes.

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Carvel March 28, 2025 FDD Risk Analysis

Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025

DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.

1

Franchisor Stability Risks

Start Here
Total: 10
1
2
7

Disclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability

Medium Risk

Explanation

The franchisor, Carvel Franchisor SPV LLC (Carvel LLC), is part of a complex structure. While its direct parent and guarantor, GoTo Foods Systems LLC, shows strong profitability in its audited financial statements, the managing affiliate, GoTo Foods LLC, has a significant member's deficit. This complex financial structure, with debt held at higher levels, may introduce risks related to resource allocation and long-term strategy, even with the performance guarantee from the profitable entity.

Potential Mitigations

  • An experienced franchise accountant should review the complete financial statements for all related entities, including all notes and the auditor's report.
  • Ask your attorney to analyze the terms and enforceability of the performance guarantee provided by GoTo Foods Systems LLC.
  • Discuss the complex corporate structure and its potential impact on day-to-day support with your business advisor and existing franchisees.
Citations: Item 21, Exhibit A

High Franchisee Turnover

High Risk

Explanation

Item 20 data from 2024, when combined with Exhibit E, shows a concerning pattern of franchisee failure before ever opening. Eight separate franchisees had their agreements terminated in 2024 for shops that never opened. This suggests potential issues in the site selection, build-out, or initial support phase that prevent franchisees from successfully launching their business after signing an agreement. This pre-opening failure rate is a significant risk indicator for new franchisees entering the system.

Potential Mitigations

  • It is critical to contact several former franchisees listed in Exhibit E, especially those who never opened, to understand the reasons for their termination.
  • Your attorney should help you probe the franchisor on the specific reasons for these pre-opening terminations.
  • A business advisor can help you create a very conservative pre-opening budget to account for potential delays or unforeseen costs.
Citations: Item 20, Exhibit E

Rapid System Growth

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. Item 20 data indicates the system is in a growth phase, expanding from 326 to 336 franchised outlets in the most recent year. Rapid growth can sometimes strain a franchisor's ability to provide support. While the growth here is notable, it does not appear to be dangerously explosive on its own, but it is a factor to monitor in conjunction with other risks.

Potential Mitigations

  • Engaging a business advisor to assess the franchisor's support infrastructure in relation to its growth rate is a prudent step.
  • In discussions with current franchisees, specifically inquire about the quality and timeliness of support they are currently receiving.
  • Your accountant can review the franchisor's financials to determine if they are reinvesting sufficiently to support system expansion.
Citations: Item 20

New/Unproven Franchise System

Low Risk

Explanation

This specific risk was not identified. The Carvel brand has a very long operating history dating back to 1934, and its predecessor has been franchising since 1947. The system is well-established and not considered new or unproven. A long history, however, does not eliminate other potential risks within the franchise system.

Potential Mitigations

  • Even with a mature system, consulting with your business advisor to understand the brand's current market position is important.
  • Your attorney should review the entire FDD for other risks that can exist even in established franchise systems.
  • An accountant can help you assess if the mature brand still offers a strong potential return on investment in today's market.
Citations: Not applicable

Possible Fad Business

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The Carvel brand, specializing in ice cream and frozen desserts, has demonstrated long-term consumer demand since 1934. The business model is not based on a recent or fleeting trend. While the market is competitive, the core product offering is not considered a fad.

Potential Mitigations

  • A business advisor can help you analyze the long-term consumer trends in the frozen dessert market to confirm its stability.
  • It's still valuable to ask your financial advisor to model how the business might perform during various economic cycles.
  • Your attorney should review the franchisor's rights to change the business model in the future.
Citations: Not applicable

Inexperienced Management

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The executives listed in Item 2 have extensive experience in the franchise and restaurant industries, many with long tenures at Carvel's parent company, GoTo Foods, or other major franchise systems like Inspire Brands and Jimmy John's. The management team appears to possess significant relevant experience in both franchising and the food service sector.

Potential Mitigations

  • It is still worthwhile to research the specific track records of key executives with the help of a business advisor.
  • When speaking with franchisees, ask about their direct experiences with the current management team's leadership and support.
  • Your attorney can review the FDD for any recent, significant changes in the management team.
Citations: Item 2

Private Equity Ownership

Medium Risk

Explanation

Carvel LLC and its parent, GoTo Foods, are affiliated with the private equity firm Roark Capital Management. This ownership structure may create pressure to prioritize short-term investor returns over the long-term health of franchisees. This can manifest as increased fees, reduced franchisee support, or a focus on selling new franchises rather than supporting existing ones. The Franchise Agreement also grants broad rights to sell the system, creating uncertainty about future ownership.

Potential Mitigations

  • It is beneficial to research the reputation of Roark Capital and its track record with other franchise brands it controls.
  • Discuss with your attorney the implications of the franchisor's right to sell the system and your rights in such an event.
  • Asking current franchisees about any changes in system focus or support levels since the private equity involvement began is a key due diligence step.
Citations: Item 1

Non-Disclosure of Parent Company

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. The FDD clearly discloses the parent company structure, identifying GoTo Foods Systems LLC as the guarantor of Carvel LLC's obligations. The audited financial statements for this parent guarantor are included in Exhibit A as required, providing financial transparency for the entity backing the franchise obligations. This proper disclosure allows for a more complete risk assessment.

Potential Mitigations

  • Your accountant should still carefully review the provided parent company financials and the specific terms of the guarantee.
  • It is important for your attorney to confirm that the guarantee is legally sound and provides meaningful protection.
  • A business advisor can help assess the operational relationship between the parent and the franchisor.
Citations: Item 1, Item 21, Exhibit A

Predecessor History Issues

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified. Item 1 discloses that Carvel LLC's predecessor was Carvel Corporation, which was acquired and became affiliated with the current parent structure. The document provides a history of the brand's franchising activities under this predecessor. There is no indication that negative history related to litigation or bankruptcy under the predecessor has been obscured, as these are addressed in their respective FDD Items.

Potential Mitigations

  • Even with disclosure, asking long-term franchisees about their experience under any predecessors can provide valuable context.
  • Your attorney should still review Item 3 and Item 4 for any disclosed history related to the predecessor entity.
  • A business advisor can help you research the public reputation of the predecessor brand during its time of operation.
Citations: Item 1

Pattern of Litigation

Low Risk

Explanation

This risk was not identified regarding Carvel LLC itself. However, Item 3 discloses that affiliated franchisors (Arby's and Dunkin') have entered into settlements with multiple state attorneys general regarding the use of "no-poaching" clauses in their franchise agreements. While these actions do not directly involve Carvel, they show a pattern of regulatory scrutiny within the larger family of affiliated brands, which could indicate a broader corporate philosophy on such matters.

Potential Mitigations

  • Your attorney should review the specifics of the affiliate litigation and assess if similar clauses exist in the Carvel agreement.
  • It is wise to discuss the franchisor's relationship with its franchisees with a significant number of current operators.
  • A business advisor can help you research the general reputation of the parent company, GoTo Foods, regarding franchisee relations.
Citations: Item 3
2

Disclosure & Representation Risks

Total: 15
4
4
7

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

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3

Financial & Fee Risks

Total: 10
5
3
2

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

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4

Legal & Contract Risks

Total: 16
6
6
4

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

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5

Territory & Competition Risks

Total: 5
2
3
0

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

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6

Regulatory & Compliance Risks

Total: 10
3
4
3

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

7

Franchisor Support Risks

Total: 4
1
2
1

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

8

Operational Control Risks

Total: 12
5
5
2

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.

9

Term & Exit Risks

Total: 18
9
6
3

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

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10

Miscellaneous Risks

Total: 2
1
1
0

Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations

Blue Risk

Explanation

This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.

Potential Mitigations

  • Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
  • Conduct regular risk assessments
  • Implement monitoring and reporting systems

Unlock Full Risk Analysis

Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.