
Duck Donuts
Initial Investment Range
$514,650 to $774,500
Franchise Fee
$40,000 to $70,000
You will operate a retail shop selling fresh made-to-order donuts under the trademark “Duck Donuts”.
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Duck Donuts April 8, 2025 FDD Risk Analysis
Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025
DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.
Franchisor Stability Risks
Start HereDisclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability
High Risk
Explanation
The franchisor's 2024 audited financial statements show a net loss of $386,178, a decline from a net income of $281,596 in 2023. Furthermore, state addenda for Maryland and North Dakota explicitly state that financial assurances were required due to the franchisor's financial condition. These factors suggest potential financial weakness, which could impact the franchisor's ability to support you and grow the brand.
Potential Mitigations
- An experienced franchise accountant should review the complete financial statements, including all footnotes and year-over-year trends, to assess the franchisor's stability.
- In discussions with your attorney, inquire about the specific financial assurances required by states and what protection they may offer you.
- Ask your business advisor to help you evaluate if the franchisor has sufficient capital to meet its obligations without relying on new franchise sales.
High Franchisee Turnover
High Risk
Explanation
Item 20 data reveals a significant increase in franchisee outlets ceasing operations. In 2024, a total of 18 franchises were terminated or ceased operations, representing a 13.5% turnover rate based on the number of outlets at the start of the year. This is a substantial increase from prior years and may indicate underlying issues within the system, such as franchisee unprofitability or dissatisfaction.
Potential Mitigations
- It is critical to contact a significant number of current and former franchisees from the list in Exhibit F to discuss their experiences.
- Your accountant should help you analyze the turnover data trends over the past three years to assess system health.
- During your due diligence, a business advisor can help you investigate the specific reasons for the high number of terminations and cessations in 2024.
Rapid System Growth
Medium Risk
Explanation
The system experienced rapid growth in 2023, adding 22 new franchised outlets, and has 42 more agreements signed for future openings. This expansion, combined with the recent net loss reported in the 2024 financial statements and high franchisee turnover, raises concerns about whether the franchisor's support infrastructure can keep pace with its growth. Over-expansion can strain resources, potentially affecting the quality of support provided to you.
Potential Mitigations
- Inquiring with recent franchisees about the quality and timeliness of the support they received can provide valuable insight.
- Your business advisor can help you ask the franchisor targeted questions about their plans for scaling support services.
- A review of the franchisor's staffing and resources with your accountant can help assess their capacity for managing continued growth.
New/Unproven Franchise System
Medium Risk
Explanation
The franchisor entity, Duck Donuts Holdings, LLC, was formed in March 2021 and has a limited operating history under its current ownership structure. The FDD's 'Special Risks' section explicitly highlights 'Short Operating History' as a risk factor for you to consider. While the brand has existed since 2012 under a predecessor, investing with a newer ownership entity carries risks related to its unproven long-term management and financial strategy.
Potential Mitigations
- Working with a business advisor to research the track record of the franchisor's parent company and management team is advisable.
- It is important to speak with franchisees who have operated under both the current and predecessor franchisor to understand any changes in the system.
- Your franchise attorney should help you understand the implications of investing with a company that has a limited history under its current ownership.
Possible Fad Business
Low Risk
Explanation
The business centers on made-to-order donuts, which exists within the highly competitive and trend-driven fast-casual food industry. While the underlying product (donuts) is established, the specific business model's long-term consumer demand could be subject to shifting tastes and trends. You should consider the concept's durability over the full 10-year franchise term.
Potential Mitigations
- Conducting independent market research with a business advisor to assess the long-term consumer demand for this specific concept is recommended.
- Evaluate the franchisor's plans for product innovation and menu adaptation to stay relevant in a competitive market.
- Your financial advisor can help you assess the business model's resilience to economic downturns and changing consumer preferences.
Inexperienced Management
Low Risk
Explanation
This specific risk was not identified in the FDD package. The executives listed in Item 2 appear to have prior experience in the food service, franchise, or related business management industries. It is generally important to evaluate management's background, as inexperience can lead to poor strategic decisions and inadequate support for franchisees.
Potential Mitigations
- Engaging a business advisor to help you thoroughly vet the backgrounds of the key management team is a prudent step.
- Asking current franchisees about their direct experiences with the management team's competence and support is a valuable part of due diligence.
- Your attorney can help you formulate questions for the franchisor about their management team's experience in supporting a franchise system.
Private Equity Ownership
Low Risk
Explanation
The FDD does not explicitly state that the franchisor is owned by a private equity firm. When a franchisor is PE-owned, there can be a risk that decisions are focused on short-term investor returns rather than the long-term health of the franchise system. This could potentially lead to increased fees or reduced franchisee support.
Potential Mitigations
- It is wise to research the franchisor's parent company, NSF Duck, LLC, with your business advisor to understand its ownership structure and history.
- Discussing any observed changes in system focus or support with long-term franchisees can provide important context.
- Your attorney can help you investigate the ownership structure for any signs of private equity involvement.
Non-Disclosure of Parent Company
Low Risk
Explanation
This specific risk was not identified. The FDD discloses the parent company, NSF Duck, LLC, as required. The franchisor does not appear to be a thinly capitalized subsidiary, and there is no indication that the parent guarantees the franchisor's obligations, which would necessitate the disclosure of the parent's financial statements. Therefore, the FDD appears compliant in this regard.
Potential Mitigations
- Your accountant should confirm that the provided financial statements are sufficient for assessing the franchisor's viability.
- An attorney can help verify the corporate structure and determine if any undisclosed parent company guarantees might exist.
- A business advisor can assist in researching the parent company to understand its stability and relationship with the franchisor.
Predecessor History Issues
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD. The document discloses a predecessor entity but does not report any negative history, such as significant litigation or bankruptcy, associated with it. When a franchisor has a predecessor, it's important to understand that history as it can sometimes indicate inherited problems within the franchise system.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney should carefully review all disclosures related to the predecessor for any potential concerns.
- It would be beneficial to speak with franchisees who have been with the system since before the acquisition to understand the transition.
- A business advisor can help you conduct independent research on the predecessor's historical track record.
Pattern of Litigation
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. Item 3 discloses a single regulatory consent order with California for a registration violation, but it does not show a pattern of franchisee-initiated lawsuits alleging fraud or misrepresentation. A history of such litigation can be a significant red flag, suggesting potential systemic problems with the franchisor's business practices or franchisee relations.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney should review the single disclosed regulatory matter to ensure you understand its implications.
- It is always good practice for your attorney to conduct an independent search for any litigation involving the franchisor that may not have been required for disclosure.
- Discussing any past or present disputes with current and former franchisees can provide valuable insight into the franchisor's relationship with its network.
Disclosure & Representation Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Financial & Fee Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Legal & Contract Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Territory & Competition Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Regulatory & Compliance Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Franchisor Support Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Operational Control Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
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Term & Exit Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
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Miscellaneous Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.