
Hickory River Smokehouse
Initial Investment Range
$315,000 to $1,084,500
Franchise Fee
$30,000
Hickory River Smokehouse® restaurants have a family-oriented theme and feature Texas-style barbecue food products and other products (for on-premises dining and carry-out) and beverages including beer and wine.
Enjoy our complimentary free risk analysis below
Unlock the full risk analysis to access 9 more categories covering 100+ risks.
Hickory River Smokehouse April 26, 2025 FDD Risk Analysis
Free FDD Library AI Analysis Date: July 16, 2025
DISCLAIMER: Not Legal Advice - For Informational Purposes Only. Consult With Qualified Franchise Professionals.
Franchisor Stability Risks
Start HereDisclosure of Franchisor's Financial Instability
High Risk
Explanation
The franchisor, Hickory River Smokehouse, Inc. (HRS), explicitly warns that its financial condition calls its ability to provide support into question. Financial statements confirm this, showing a net operating loss and significant negative cash flow from operations in 2024. A state regulator also imposed a fee deferral due to the company's financial condition. This combination of factors indicates a significant risk to the franchisor's stability and its capacity to support your business effectively.
Potential Mitigations
- A franchise accountant must conduct a thorough review of the audited financial statements, including all footnotes and year-over-year trends.
- Your attorney should explain the implications of the state-mandated fee deferral and what protections, if any, it offers you.
- Discuss the franchisor's plans to improve its financial performance and support capabilities with your business advisor.
High Franchisee Turnover
High Risk
Explanation
The franchise system is small, with only five to six active units over the last three years. In the most recent year, one franchised unit ceased operations, representing a system decline of approximately 17%. For a small system, any closure is a significant event and could indicate potential issues with the business model's profitability or sustainability for franchisees. This level of churn warrants careful investigation into the reasons for the unit's closure.
Potential Mitigations
- It is critical to contact the former franchisee who ceased operations, as well as several current franchisees, to discuss their experiences.
- Your accountant can help you analyze the potential reasons for such a high turnover rate in a small system.
- Engage a business advisor to assess if the system's size and recent contraction pose a risk to long-term brand viability.
Rapid System Growth
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD package. The franchise system has been contracting or stagnant over the last two years, not growing rapidly. A system that grows too fast can strain its resources, leading to inadequate support for franchisees. While this specific risk is not present, the lack of growth presents its own set of challenges regarding brand momentum and market presence, which should be considered.
Potential Mitigations
- Your business advisor can help you evaluate the pros and cons of joining a small, non-growing system versus a rapidly expanding one.
- Discussing the quality and availability of franchisor support with current franchisees is a prudent step in your due diligence.
- An accountant should still review the franchisor's financial statements to ensure they have adequate resources to support the existing system.
New/Unproven Franchise System
Medium Risk
Explanation
While the business concept has existed since 1994, the franchise system is very small, with only five operating units. The recent closure of one unit and the franchisor's disclosed financial weakness suggest the model may not be consistently proven or scalable for franchisees. Investing in a small system carries risks such as limited brand recognition, smaller support infrastructure, and a less-established track record of franchisee success, which requires careful consideration.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you conduct extensive due diligence on the profitability and operational challenges of the existing five units.
- Speaking with all current franchisees is essential to understand the realities of operating within this small system.
- Your accountant should help you develop conservative financial projections, given the limited and uncertain performance history.
Possible Fad Business
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. The FDD package describes a Texas-style barbecue restaurant concept. This is a well-established and enduring segment of the restaurant industry in the United States, not a business model based on a new or fleeting trend. Therefore, the risk of the business being a short-lived fad appears to be low. Your success will likely depend more on operational execution and local market factors rather than the sustainability of the core concept.
Potential Mitigations
- A business advisor can help you research the local market competition for barbecue and casual dining to assess demand.
- You should evaluate the franchisor's approach to menu innovation and marketing to ensure it remains relevant and competitive.
- Consulting with your financial advisor can help you assess the long-term financial viability based on established industry trends.
Inexperienced Management
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD. Item 2 indicates that the key executives have been involved with the company and its predecessor since 2003 and 1994, respectively. This demonstrates significant experience within this specific brand and industry. While the system's performance raises other questions, a lack of management experience does not appear to be a primary risk based on the disclosures. An experienced management team is generally better equipped to navigate challenges.
Potential Mitigations
- You should still discuss the management team's vision and strategy for addressing the system's current challenges with your business advisor.
- Inquiring with current franchisees about their confidence in and relationship with the management team is a valuable due diligence step.
- Your attorney can help you understand how management's decisions have impacted the franchise system over time.
Private Equity Ownership
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD. Item 1 and the accompanying documents do not indicate that a private equity firm or similar institutional investor owns HRS. The franchisor appears to be privately held by its founding management. This can sometimes mean a focus on long-term brand health over short-term returns, though it does not eliminate other financial or operational risks.
Potential Mitigations
- It is still wise to have your attorney investigate the corporate structure to confirm ownership and identify any influential stakeholders.
- Your business advisor can help you understand the potential advantages and disadvantages of dealing with a founder-led franchisor.
- Reviewing the franchisor's right to sell or assign the franchise system in the Franchise Agreement with your attorney remains an important step.
Non-Disclosure of Parent Company
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified. The FDD does not disclose any current parent company for HRS. The franchisor entity, Hickory River Smokehouse, Inc., appears to be the primary operating and contracting entity, and it has provided its own audited financial statements as required. Therefore, the risk of a hidden parent company with undisclosed financial issues does not seem to be present.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney can perform a corporate records search to verify the franchisor's legal structure and confirm the absence of a parent company.
- A franchise accountant should analyze the provided financials to ensure they stand on their own without reliance on unstated parental support.
- You should still ask the franchisor directly about any affiliated companies that may impact the business, with guidance from your attorney.
Predecessor History Issues
Medium Risk
Explanation
The FDD discloses that HRS was granted rights from a former affiliate, Longhorn Smokehouse, Inc., which was incorporated in 1994 and 'closed in 2020.' The closure of a predecessor entity is a negative historical fact that could indicate prior operational or financial difficulties with the underlying business concept or management. This history may have implications for the current health and stability of the franchisor, HRS.
Potential Mitigations
- You should ask the franchisor for a detailed explanation of the circumstances surrounding the predecessor's closure, with help from your attorney.
- In discussions with long-term franchisees, inquire about their experiences or knowledge regarding the predecessor entity.
- A business advisor can help you assess if any issues from the predecessor's history might still affect the current franchise system.
Pattern of Litigation
Low Risk
Explanation
This risk was not identified in the FDD. Item 3 explicitly states, 'No litigation is required to be disclosed in this Item.' The absence of disclosed lawsuits against the franchisor by franchisees alleging fraud, or a high volume of franchisor-initiated litigation, is a positive indicator. However, this does not guarantee a dispute-free relationship. Standard contractual risks still apply.
Potential Mitigations
- Your attorney can still conduct independent public record searches for litigation involving the franchisor or its principals as a final check.
- It remains important to discuss franchisee satisfaction and any past disputes with current and former franchisees.
- A thorough review of the dispute resolution clauses in the Franchise Agreement with your attorney is still necessary.
Disclosure & Representation Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Financial & Fee Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Legal & Contract Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Territory & Competition Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Regulatory & Compliance Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Franchisor Support Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Operational Control Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Term & Exit Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.
Miscellaneous Risks
Example Risk: Franchisee Financial Obligations
Blue Risk
Explanation
This risk involves the financial obligations that a franchisee must meet, including initial fees, ongoing royalties, and other required payments. Understanding these obligations is crucial for long-term success.
Potential Mitigations
- Carefully review the Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) and consult with a franchise attorney to fully understand all financial commitments before signing.
- Conduct regular risk assessments
- Implement monitoring and reporting systems
Unlock Full Risk Analysis
Purchase the complete risk review to see all 102 risks across all 10 categories.